Finisterra
,
LX
(
129
), 202
5
,
e38754
ISSN: 0430
-
5027
doi: 10.18055/38754
Artigo
Published under the terms and conditions of an Attribution
-
NonCommercial
-
NoDerivatives 4.0 International license.
URBAN BIOCLIMATOLOGY IN AN INTERMEDIATE LATIN AMERICAN CITY
WITH A TEMPERATE CLIMATE (BAHÍA BLANCA, ARGENTINA)
M
ARÍA
E
UGENIA
F
ERNÁNDEZ
1
J
ORGE
O
SVALDO
G
ENTILI
1
ABSTRACT
–
This article aims to characterise the spatio
-
temporal variability of thermal comfort in Bahía Blanca
between 1961 and 2020, including during extreme thermal events (heatwaves and coldwaves). Meteorological records
from three stations located in differen
t parts of the city were used to calculate the Physiological Equivalent Temperature
(PET) index, using the RayMan Pro tool. The results provide new information on the city’s bioclimatology and on the
spatio
-
temporal distribution of thermal comfort conditio
ns. Cold stress was more frequent than heat stress in Bahía
Blanca. Daily bioclimatic indicators revealed extreme cold stress during the night and early morning hours, and a higher
frequency of heat stress between 13:00 and 17:00. During extreme heat event
s, PET values exceeded 41°C, while during
coldwaves, minimum PET ranged from
-
8.3°C to
-
18.1°C. In the surrounding suburban area, winter cold stress was more
severe than in central and coastal areas. In the urban centre, heat stress was more intense during
the central hours of
the day and in summer. Coastal areas experienced less cold stress at night and less heat stress during the day.
Keywords:
Comfort,
physiological equivalent temperature
,
intermediate cities, urban sustainability
.
RESUMO
–
BIOCLIMATOLOGIA URBANA
N
UMA CIDADE INTERM
ÉDIA
DA AMÉRICA LATINA
DE
CLIMA
TEMPERADO (BAHÍA BLANCA, ARGENTINA).
Este artigo tem como objetivo caracterizar a variabilidade espaço
-
temporal do conforto térmico em Bahía Blanca entre 1961 e 2020, incluindo durant
e eventos térmicos extremos (ondas
de calor e ondas de frio). Foram utilizados registos meteorológicos de três estações localizadas em diferentes pontos da
cidade para calcular o índice de Temperatura Equivalente Fisiológica (PET), com recurso à ferramenta
RayMan Pro
. Os
resultados fornecem informações novas sobre a bioclimatologia da cidade e a distribuição espaço
-
temporal das
condições de conforto térmico. O
stress
por frio foi mais frequente do que o
stress
por calor em Bahía Blanca. Os
indicadores biocl
imáticos diários revelaram
stress
térmico extremo por frio durante a noite e as primeiras horas da
manhã, e maior frequência de
stress
por calor entre as 13h e as 17h. Durante eventos extremos de calor, os valores de
PET ultrapassaram os 41°C, enquanto dur
ante as ondas de frio, o PET mínimo variou entre
-
8,3°C e
-
18,1°C. Na zona
suburbana envolvente, o
stress
por frio no inverno foi mais severo do que nas áreas centrais e costeiras. No centro
urbano, o
stress
por calor foi mais intenso nas horas centrais do
dia e durante o verão. As áreas costeiras registaram
menor
stress
por frio à noite e menor
stress
por calor durante o dia.
Palavras
-
chave:
Conforto,
temperatura equivalente fisiológica
, cidades
intermédias
, sustentabilidade urbana.
HIGHLIGHTS
Heat
stress occurred mainly in summer, and cold stress predominated in winter in Bahía Blanca.
Extreme cold stress was common at night and in the early morning; heat stress occurred
predominantly in the afternoon.
In the last decade, maximum PET values during h
eatwaves reached up to 48.7 °C.
Coastal areas experienced reduced thermal stress due to the moderating effect of the sea.
Suburban areas experienced more cold stress in winter and less heat stress in summer.
Recebido
:
5/11
/202
4
. Aceite:
21
/
02
/202
5
.
Publicado:
21
/
07
/202
5
.
1
Departa
mento de Geografía y Turismo, Unive
rsidad Nacional del Sur (UNS),
Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y
Técnicas (CONICET),
calle 12 de Octubre 1098, 4° Piso,
8000, Bahía Blanca, Buenos Aires, Argentina. E
-
mail:
eugenia.fernandez@uns.edu.ar
,
jogentili@uns.edu.ar
Fernández, M. E., Gentili, J. O.,
Finisterra,
LX
(129), 2025, e38754
2
1.
INTRODU
CTION
Because of their high energy demand and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, cities contribute
greatly to climate change (CC), while being particularly vulnerable to its impacts
(Barros & Camilloni,
2016; United Nations Habitat, 2020)
. Urban
geometry (dimensions and arrangement of buildings),
construction materials (iron, concrete, cement, bricks, etc.), types of surface coverage (asphalt) and
the waste generated by human activities affect climate at different scales
(Oke
et al
., 2017)
. On a global
scale, population growth and urban energy consumption modify the natural substrate and emit
greenhouse gases (GHG) into the atmospher
e, exacerbating CC
(IPCC
[
Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change
]
, 2014, 2019)
. At the local and micro
-
local scale, cities modify the ver
tical and
horizontal thermal distribution of temperatures, generating urban cold
islands (UCI)
and
urban
heat
islands (UHI)
(Oke, 1973, 1997, 2011; Oke
et al.
, 2017)
.
The increase in urban temperature generates several risks to human hea
lth and has a great
effect on life quality and comfort conditions.
Extreme thermal episodes discourage the development
of outdoor activities
(Ho
et al
., 2023;
Jemmett
-
Smith
et al
., 2018; Johansson, 2006; Kotharkar
et al.
,
2024; Li & Ratti, 2018; Sambrook
et al
., 2023; Smith & Lancaster, 2020)
and increase energy
consumption for indoor cooling or heating
(Alnuaimi & Natarajan, 20
21; Añel
et al.,
2017
;
Doulos
et
al.
, 2004)
. Among the most severe extreme thermal events, heatwaves (HW) stand out, which can be
defined as a “pervasive natural hazard that can take a heavy toll on human systems, affecting health,
livelihoods and infra
structure”
(WMO
[World Meteorological Organization]
, 2015b
, p. 17
)
. Several
studies verified the impact of HW on mortality
(Chesini
et al.
, 2019; D’Ippoliti
et al.
, 2010; Dimitriadou
& Zerefos, 2023; Dimitrova
et al.
, 2021; Hassan
et al.
, 2020; López
-
Bueno
et al.
, 2020)
.
Among the
extreme cold episodes with the greatest impact, coldwaves (CW) stand out. These are more or le
ss
prolonged periods in which temperatures are lower than normal. The WMO defines CW as the
persistence of cold air over an area
(WMO, 2015a)
. Extreme cold is associated with respiratory,
cardiovascular and infectious diseases
(Chen
et al.
, 2020; Hajat & Haines, 2002; Khanjani &
Bahrampour, 2013; Mäkinen
et al.
, 2009; Medina
-
Ramón
et al.
, 2006; Monteiro
et al.
, 2013; Urban
et
al.
, 2014)
and negatively influences human comfort
(Basarin
et al
., 2016; Roshan
et al.
, 2018)
. With
global CC it is expected that the frequency, duration and intensity of extreme weather events will
increase
(IPCC, 20
19, 2023)
, so it is essential to assess the real impact of these events on the quality of
life and comfort of citizens.
Thermal comfort defines the use and permanence of citizens in urban public spaces, which is
why its inclusion in urban development plans is highly recommended
(Shooshtarian
et al.,
2020)
.
Indeed, one of the main objectives of urban design is to
minimize human heat and cold stress
(
Oke
et
al.
, 2017)
. Thermal comfort is achieved under a set of atmospheric conditions in which self
-
reg
ulation
mechanisms are minimal and the body temperature is brought in line with that of the environment
(Fernández García, 1996)
. According to the
American National Standards Institute (ANSI) and the
American Society of Heating,
Refrigerating and Air
-
Conditioning Engineers (ASHRAE)
,
Standard,
thermal comfort is defined as “the mental condition which expresses satisfaction with the thermal
environment and which is assessed by subjective evaluation”
(ANSI/ASHRAE, 2010
, n.p.
)
. Acquiring
information a
bout human comfort in outdoor environments requires information about climatic
elements (such as temperature, wind, humidity and radiation) and also about the biophysical and
psychological response of the individual, which depends on activity levels, age a
nd clothing, among
others
(Oke
et al.
, 2017)
.
A universal index for the assessment of human thermal comfort is the Physiological Equivalent
Temperature (PET)
(Fröhlich
et al.
, 2019; Matzarakis
et al.
, 1999)
. PET is defined as the physiological
equivalent temperature at
any given place (outdoors or indoors) corresponding to the air temperature
at which, in a typical indoor setting, the heat balance of the human body (work metabolism 80W of
light activity, added to basic metabolism; heat resistance of clothing 0.9clo) is
maintained with core
and skin temperatures equal to those under the conditions being assessed
(Höppe, 1999)
. The PET
index has been used to descr
ibe biometeorological conditions in Europe
(Ateş
et al.
, 2023; Basarin
et
al.
, 2
016; Fernández García
et al.
, 2012; Fiorillo
et al.
, 2023; Konstantinov
et al.
, 2022; Milošević
et al
.,
2016; Royé
et al.
, 2012)
, North America
(Provençal
et al.
, 2016; Taleghani & Berardi, 2018)
, Asia
(Hanafi & Dastjerdi, 2014; Kotharkar
et al.
, 2024; Lin & Tsai, 2017; Yang
et al.
, 2018)
, South America
(Helbig
et al
., 2007; Mesa
et al.
, 2009; Ribeiro
et al.
, 2022; Ruiz & Correa, 2015b
;
Puliafito
et al
., 2009
)
,
among others. At local and micro
-
local scales, PET has been widely used to determine the intra
-
urban
variability in comfort. Numerous authors
(Kotharkar
et al.
, 2019; Milošević
et al.
, 2016; Ruiz & Correa,
Fe
rn
á
ndez
,
M. E., Gentili, J. O.
,
Finisterra,
LX
(129), 2025, e38754
3
2015a;
Puliafito
et al.
, 2013;
Unger
et al.
, 2017; Xiang
&
Ren
,
2017)
analyzed outdoor thermal comfort
based on the Local Climate Zones (LCZ) classification system.
In 2015, the United Nations General Assembly adopted the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable
Development which incorporates 17 Sustainable Development Goals
(Dugarova & Gülasan, 2017;
United Nations General Assembly, 2015)
, as
SDG 11 “Make cities inclusive, safe, resilient and
sustainable”. In this cont
ext, knowing the spatio
-
temporal variability of PET in cities is an important
step in the definition of climate change adaptation measures and in the planning of thermally
comfortable spaces. In Bahía Blanca
(Argentina)
, several studies have documented the
effect of the
urban form and function on temperatures
(Capelli de Steffens
et al.
, 2005; Ferrelli, 2016; Gentili &
Fernández, 2023)
, urban energy balance
(Fernández
et al.
, 2021)
and atmospheric pollution
(Campo
et al.
, 2017, 2018; Colman Lerner
et al.,
2012; Fernández, Gentili,
& Campo, 2021; Orte e
t al.
, 2013; E.
Puliafito
et al.,
2009)
.
In this context, it is of interest to know the impact these conditions exert on the
comfort of the inhabitants of different areas of the city. In this line, the aim of the present work is to
characterize the spatio
-
temporal variability of thermal comfort in Bahía Blanca during the period
1961
-
2020 and during extreme thermal episodes (heatwaves
-
coldwaves). Since PET has a widely
known unit (°C), it is accessible for urban planning decision ma
kers
(Matzarakis
et al.
, 1999; Tornero
et al.
, 2006)
. The originality of this research is based on several factors: the study area, its scope and
temporal resolution, the multiscale analysis, and the potential for extrapolation to intermediate Latin
American cities. Several studies focus on the spatio
-
temp
oral variability of PET in the Northern
Hemisphere, while in the Southern Hemisphere, this type of research is still in its early stages
(Costa
et al.,
2024)
. In fact, there is a lack of understanding regarding the large
-
scale and long
-
term variability
and trends of thermal stress on th
is continent
(Miranda
et al.
, 2024)
. I
n Argentina, long
-
term spatio
-
temporal variability of comfort situations using the PET index has not been developed
(Costa
et al.
,
2024)
. Preliminary work in this field focused primarily on the PET index in some Argentine locations,
but in shorter periods and very few of these studies e
xplore the intra
-
urban variability of comfort.
However, studies conducted in urban environments of the Southern Hemisphere are of great
importance for several reasons. First, a continuous rise in the frequency of extreme heat events has
been observed in Ba
hía Blanca
(Gentili & Fernández, 2024)
, Arge
ntina
(Camilloni, 2018; Ferrelli
et al
.,
2021; Rusticucci
et al.
, 2015; Santágata
et al.
, 2017)
and South America
(Cueto
e
t al.
, 2010; Feron
et al
.,
2019; Piticar, 2018)
. By the end of the 21
st
century, numerous countries in South America are likely to
face heightened levels of heat
-
related health stress due to escalating natural hazards and population
growth
(Hagen
et al.
, 2022)
. In fact, according to Smit
(2021)
the Southern Hemisphere is rapidly
urbanizing, having contributed 94
%
of global population growth between 2010 and 2015. The present
study includes bioclimatological analysis at various scal
es, incorporating a local study spanning a ten
-
year period. In Bahía Blanca, this study stands out due to its extensive analysis period (60 years in
total) and high temporal resolution (hourly analysis), making it a unique contribution. It also sets a
prec
edent of interest, as its results could potentially be extrapolated to other intermediate cities in
Latin America. Crawford
et al.
(2018)
affirm that neighborhoods in the Global South often exhibit
different building construction materials and development patterns than those of the Global North
and, although the majority of rapidly growing cities occu
rs in the Global South, the urban climate
research in such cities has been sparse. Therefore, the results of this research will be a useful input for
improving the urban habitability of Bahía Blanca as well as a contribution to the knowledge for
building a
nd generating resilient cities in Latin America
(Vecellio & Vanos, 2024)
.
2.
STUDY AREA
Bahía Blanca (
f
ig. 1a) is an intermediate city in Argentina located in the south of Buenos Aires
province. It is the head city of the homonymous district and has a population of 335.190 inhabitants
(
Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Censos [
INDEC
]
, 2023)
. Bahía Blanca has a transitional climate
between the hot and humid of the eastern Buenos Aires province and the cold and dry climate of
Patagonia.
The regional atmospheric circulation is controlled by the large
-
scale systems influencing
the South of the American continent (
f
ig. 2): the semi
-
permanent anticyclones of the Atlantic
ocean
(South Atlantic Anticyclone, ASS) and Pacific
ocean
(South Pacific
Anticyclone, APS)
(Chiozza &
Figueras, 1982; Grimm
et al
., 2000)
. Bahía
Blanca has a mean annual temperature of 15.5
°C
with a
marked thermal seasonality: 22.3
°C
summer mean and 9.5
°C
winter mean. Rainfall has an annual mean
value of 644.6
mm
and summer is the rainiest season in the city, with an average value of 206.2
mm
Fernández, M. E., Gentili, J. O.,
Finisterra,
LX
(129), 2025, e38754
4
(Ferre
lli, 2016; Zapperi, 2012)
. Bahía Blanca has one of the highest average wind speed values in the
region, mainly in summer. Its preponderant direction is north and northwest
(Campo de Ferreras
et
al.
, 2004)
. The regional dynamics of solar radiation is largely determined by the passage of migratory
anticyclones over the Argentinean territory and the associated synoptic conditions, as
well as by the
passage of cold fronts
(Fernández, 2020; Fernández, Gentili, Casado,
et al.
, 2021)
. At the local scale, the
variable shows a marked seasonal variability and a strong dependence on cloud cover. In all thermal
seasons, global solar radiation increases uniformly from sun
rise throughout the day, reaching its
maximum around 1:00p.m. (the fact that solar noon is at 1:00
p.m.
is due to the fact that the time zone
in Argentina is
-
3 UTC, even when the country is located in the
-
4 UTC time zone)
(Fernández, 2020;
Fernández & Gentili, 2021b)
.
Fig
.
1
–
Study area: a) Location
,
b) Local Climate Zones (LCZ)
,
c) Spatial distribution of the main energy fluxes
.
Colour
figure available online.
Fig
.
1
–
Área de estudo: a) Localização
,
b) Zonas Climáticas Locais (ZCL)
,
c) Distribuição espacial dos principais fluxos de
energia
.
Figura a cores disponível online.
Bahía Blanca has shown significant expansion of the urbanized area. Between 2010 and 2016,
the urban population increased by 0.5
%
annually compared to an increas
e in the urbanized area of
2.71
%
in the same period
(
Centro de Implementación de Políticas Públicas para la Equidad y el
Crecimiento
, 2017)
. High
-
rise building began to develop in the mid
-
20
th
century around the central
square and in the following years it exceeded the microcenter and macrocenter boundaries
(Fittipaldi
et al.
, 2018; Formiga & Marenco, 2000)
. Figure 1b shows the Local Climate Zones (LCZ) classification
(Stewart & Oke, 2012)
made for Bahía Blanca
(Fernández
et al.
, 2021)
. Most of the LCZs built types
correspond to LCZ 1,
2,
3,
6 and 9. In the microcente
r most of pixels correspond to compact high
-
rise
(LCZ 1) and compact mid
-
rise (LCZ 2), while in the macrocenter LCZ 3 (compact low rise) prevails. In
the peri
-
urban area, where low
-
rise residential neighborhoods are common, LCZs 6 and 9
classifications are
mainly observed. Regarding land cover types, LCZs B and F are the most observed,
mainly in the rural area surrounding the city
(Fernández
et al.
, 2021)
.
Due to its constant growth, Bahía Blanca is not free from the most common urban problems.
Recent studies observed that the city growth between
1985 and 2014 modified the spatial
Fe
rn
á
ndez
,
M. E., Gentili, J. O.
,
Finisterra,
LX
(129), 2025, e38754
5
distribution of temperature and relative humidity while the intensity of the ICU increased in that
period as well
(Ferrelli, 2016; Ferrelli
et al.
, 2016)
.
Fig
.
2
–
Seasonal patterns of atmospheric circulation and rainfall over South America
.
Colour figure available online.
Fig
.
2
–
Padrões sazonais de
circulação atmosférica e precipitação sobre a América do Sul
.
Figura a cores disponível
online.
Source: Sea level pressure, wind vectors, and precipitable water maps were derived from long
-
term (1981
-
2010) monthly means of the NCEP/NCAR
Reanalysis. Fronts
and air masses were based on Campo et al.
(2004)
. Modified from Casado
(2013)
Figures 1b and 1c synthesize the main results of research related to the urban energy balance
(UEB) in the city
(Fernández, 2020; Fernández, Picone,
et al.
, 2021)
,
which studied the spatial
variability of UEB components by calculating indices such as the storage index (
Λ
) and Bowen ratio
(
β
), among others
(Oke
et al.
, 2017)
. It can be observed that in the central zones of Bahía Blanca (LCZ
1 and 2) sensible heat (QH), anthropogenic heat (QF) and storage heat (QS) fluxes prevail while in the
peri
-
urban area (LCZ 6 and 9) and the coastal area (LCZ F and
G) latent heat fluxes were more
predominant. In relation to this, Gentili
et al
.
(2020)
documented the increase of car parks in the city
micro
-
center (LCZ 1 and 2) and their influence on some urban environmental prob
lems, such as ICU
and air pollution. Regarding comfort, Fernández
et al.
(2018)
showed that the city center registered a
lower percentage of comfortable days than the rural area and a lower percentage of cold stress
frequency.
3.
MATERIALS
AND METHODS
Meteorological records from three stations located in different points of the city were used (
f
ig.
1a). First, the station “Bahía Blanca Airport” (BBA) which belongs to the National Meteorological
Fernández, M. E., Gentili, J. O.,
Finisterra,
LX
(129), 2025, e38754
6
Service (SMN, for its initials in Spanish) and has hourly records of temperature (°C), humidity (%),
wind speed (m/s) and cloudiness in Bahía Blanca for the period 1961
-
2020. These data, being the most
extensive in time, were used to made the general analy
sis of the bioclimatic profile of the city. For its
specific location without horizon limitation (10
km
away from the city center with no buildings and no
higher vegetation), it was considered representative of the geographical factors that define the
regio
nal climate. On the other hand, for the analysis of the comfort variability at the local scale, we
worked with hourly records of temperature (°C), humidity (%), wind speed (m/s) and global solar
radiation (W/m2) from two weather stations: “Bahía Blanca Dow
ntown” (BBD) and “Bahía Blanca
Estuary” (BBE) (
f
ig. 1a). Although the period of registration of these stations is limited (2001
-
2010),
their data are representative of different LCZs of the city (
f
ig. 1b), and it is expected the results of their
comparison
will provide unprecedented information on the variability of comfort at an intra
-
urban
scale.
For the calculations of the PET index, the
RayMan Pro
tool was used
(Fröhlich
et al
., 2019;
Matzarakis
et al
., 2007, 2010, 2021; Matzarakis & Fröhlich, 2018)
. Calc
ulations were performed using
standardized values for age, sex, height and weight (35 years, male, 1.75m and 75kg) and an activity
of 80W with a thermal resistance garment of 0.9clo
(Höppe, 1999)
as reference. The processing results
were analyzed with Excel software using techniques associated to descriptive statistics. Threshold
values for PET were developed in the form of a graded index
(Höppe, 1999; Matzarakis & Mayer, 1996)
.
The analysis included such categorization following the methodology of Matzarakis
and
Mayer
(1996)
and
Basarin
et al
. (2016)
(
t
able
I
). We performed a general bioclimate diagram, which includes 10
-
day
frequencies of the daily PET va
lues for the period 1961 to 2020
(Matza
rakis
et al
., 2011)
.
Table
I
–
PET: thermal sensation and grade of physiological stress on humans
.
Quadro I
–
PET: sensação térmica e nível de stress fisiológico em seres humanos.
PET
Thermal sensation
Grade of physiological stress
<
-
10
Very cold
Extreme cold stress
≥
-
10 <0
≥0 <4
≥4 <8
Cold
Strong cold stress
≥8 <13
C
ool
Moderate cold stress
≥ 13< 18
Slightly cool
Slight cold stress
≥ 18 <23
Comfortable
No thermal stress
≥ 23 < 29
Slightly warm
Slight heat stress
≥ 29 < 35
Warm
Moderate
heat stress
≥ 35 < 41
Hot
Strong heat stress
≥ 41
Very hot
Extreme heat stress
Source: Basarin
et al
. (2016), Matzarakis and Mayer
(1996)
Heat (cold) waves can be defined as more or less prolonged periods of higher (lower) than
normal temperatures. In Argentina, the National Meteorological Service (SMN for its initials in
Spanish) defines the HW as
:
the period in which the maxi
mum and minimum temperatures equal or exceed, for at
least 3 consecutive days and simultaneously, the 90th percentile, calculated from daily
data during the months of October to March (warm six
-
month period in the southern
hemisphere) of the period 1961
-
20
10
.
(Herrera
et al.
, 2018
, p. 4
)
For its part, the same organization defines as CW
:
the period in which the maximum and minimum temperatures equal or are lower, at
least during 3 consecutive days and simultaneously, than the 90th
percentile, calculated
from daily data during the months of April to September (cold six
-
month period in the
southern hemisphere) of the period 1961
-
2010
.
(Veiga
et al
., 2015
, n.p.
)
The identification of HW and CW was based on previous research conducted by the authors
using daily maximum and minimum temperature records provided by the SMN for the period 1961
-
2020.
Fe
rn
á
ndez
,
M. E., Gentili, J. O.
,
Finisterra,
LX
(129), 2025, e38754
7
4.
RESU
LTS
4.1.
Variability of comfort at different time scales
Considering t
he interannual and interdecadal variability in comfort conditions
(fig. 3),
w
e found
a mean PET of 10.9
°C
throughout the year, 16.9
°C
in the warm semester and 5.2
°C
in the cold semester.
During the cold semester, the PET values ranged between 15.5
°C
(2007) and 19.9
°C
(1984) and during
the warm semester between 2.8°C (2007) and 8.3
°C
(1970). The interannual and interdecadal
variability in comfort conditions showed a c
lear seasonal pattern. The first three decades had a major
variability in PET conditions. The 10
-
year period mean values had a decrease between 1961
-
1970 and
1971
-
1980. In the cold semester this trend was maintained, while in the warm semester a subsequent
increase in the decadal mean values (1981
-
1990) was observed. In the first three decades, the decadal
mean values showed greater variability, with up to 1
°C
of difference with respect to the half
-
yearly and
annual values for the period 1961
-
2020. In the l
ast three decades, the variable became more stable
(maximum differences of 0.4°C with respect to the half
-
yearly and annual value for the period 1961
-
2020), although comfort conditions had greater inter
-
decadal variability in the cold half
-
year.
Fig
3
–
Interdecadal and interannual PET (1961
-
2020)
.
Colour figure available online.
Fig
.
3
–
PET interdec
enal
e interanual (1961
-
2020)
.
Figura a cores disponível online.
Figure 4 shows the human thermal bioclimatic conditions in Bahía Blanca expressed in
perc
entages. 26.8% of the records for the period 1961
-
2020 corresponded to extreme cold stress and
2.5% to strong and extreme heat stress. Extreme thermal stress related to hot conditions (PET ≥ 35°C)
was observed mainly during December, January and February.
Extreme thermal stress linked to cold
conditions (PET <4°C) had a higher percentage of occurrence throughout the year, mainly in June, July
and August. Between late April and early September more than 50% of the records were associated
with a cold and very
cold thermal sensation (PET <8°C) and between June and August with a very cold
sensation (PET <4°C). Comfortable thermal sensation (PET ≥ 18 <23°C) was minimal during winter
months and was more frequent in the intermediate thermal seasons and during the s
ummer.
The preponderance of cold thermal stress was observed
in the city throughout the year with the
highest frequency of occurrence during the second half of the year. During the first semester the slight
physiological stress (PET ≥ 13 <18°C or ≥ 23 <29°C) was more frequent and the conditions of heat
stress due t
o cold (PET <8°C) were comparatively less frequent than in the second semester.
Fernández, M. E., Gentili, J. O.,
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Fig
.
4
–
Bioclimatic diagram for Bahía Blanca in ten
-
day intervals (1961
-
2020)
.
Colour figure available online.
Fig
.
4
–
Diagrama bioclimático para Bahía Blanca
em intervalos de dez dias (1961
-
2020)
.
Figura a cores disponível
online.
Analyzing the annual daily bioclimatic pattern for Bahía Blanca (fig. 5a), between 12:00a.m. and
07:00a.m. over 40% of PET values were < 4°C (extreme cold stress). PET ≥ 13 < 29°C (
slight or no
physiological stress) was more frequent between 10:00a.m. and 06:00p.m. (frequencies between
42.2% and 48.4%). PET ≥ 35°C (strong and extreme heat stress) was more frequent between
02:00p.m. and 03:00p.m.
The cold semester bioclimatic diagram
(Fig. 5b) showed a higher frequency of extreme cold
stress conditions (PET < 4°C), mainly during the night and early morning hours (between 10:00p.m.
and 08:00a.m.), with percentages as high as 73.4% at 06:00a.m. The diagram also shows a lower
frequency o
f PET ≥ 13 < 29°C. In fact, comfortable conditions (PET ≥ 18 < 23°C) only reached a 12.4%
at 03:00p.m. and the slightly warm (PET ≥ 23 < 29°C) a 5.8%. The most abrupt changes in comfort
conditions were recorded after sunrise and with increasing sun altitud
e between 08:00a.m. and
12:00p.m. During the night and the middle hours of the day, PET values remained more stable.
The diagram of the warm half
-
year (Fig. 5c) shows the highest frequencies of heat stress
situations. PET ≥ 35°C reached the highest frequencies (up to 20.4%) between 01:00p.m. and
05:00p.m. The frequency of cold stress (PET < 8°C) was only visible after 06
:00p.m. and up to 10:00a.m.
PET ≥ 8 < 18°C (cool and slightly cool) were the most frequent conditions in that time slot (percentages
above 50%). The warm half
-
year had the highest frequencies of comfortable conditions (PET ≥ 18 <
23°C), with percentages ab
ove 20% between 09:00a.m. and 08:00p.m.
Figures 5d to 5g show the quarterly variation of the daily bioclimatic diagram in Bahía Blanca.
Extreme thermal stress was higher in summer (fig. 5d) and winter (fig. 5f), although the cold season
had higher compara
tive percentages: extreme cold stress (PET < 4°C) reached up to 86.4% in winter,
while in summer strong and extreme heat stress (PET ≥ 35°C) reached 31.8%. Autumn and spring (fig.
5e and fig. 5g) show some differences in comfort situations. Between 09:00p.
m. and 08:00a.m., PET <
4°C had lower frequencies in autumn. In fact, up to 78% of the spring nocturnal records corresponded
to PET < 8°C, while in autumn the percentages reached 67.5%.
Thus, it is observed that cold stress conditions in Bahía Blanca were
more frequent in spring
than in autumn. During the middle hours of the day, cool and slightly cool (PET ≥ 8 <18°C) were the
most frequent conditions both in autumn and spring, with percentages reaching 51.2% and 53.5%,
respectively. PET ≥ 18 < 23°C (comfo
rtable conditions) was more frequent in spring and both seasons
had similar percentages of PET ≥ 23 < 29°C (slightly warm) and PET ≥ 29 < 35°C (warm).
Fe
rn
á
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,
M. E., Gentili, J. O.
,
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Fig
.
5
–
Daily bioclimatic diagram for Bahía Blanca: a) 1961
-
2020
,
b) Cold semester 1961
-
2020
,
c) Warm semester
1961
-
2020
,
d) Summer 1961
-
2020
,
e) Autumn 1961
-
2020
,
f) Winter 1961
-
2020
,
g) Spring 1961
-
2020
.
Colour figure
available online.
Fig
.
5
–
Diagrama bioclimático diário para Bahía Blanca: a) 1961
-
2020
,
b) Semestre frio 1961
-
2020
,
c) Semestre quente
1961
-
2020
,
d) Verão 1961
-
2020
,
e) Outono 1961
-
2020
,
f) Inverno 1961
-
2020
,
g) Primavera 1961
-
2020
.
Figura a cores
disponível online.
4.2.
Local bioclimatic conditions during extreme weather events
During most of the HW (
f
ig. 6a) PET reached
values above 41
°C
. In the last decade, all HW had a
maximum PET above 43
°C
and up to 48.7
°C
. These conditions are unique to that period, which shows
that discomfort conditions resulting from the occurrence of HW have increased in recent years. During
the
CW (
f
ig. 6b) the minimum PET ranged between
-
8.3
°C
and
-
18.1
°C
. The first four 10
-
year periods
had a greater variability in the minimums found, while
,
in the period 2001
-
2010
,
values
were more
stable. In the last decade no CW were recorded in Bahía Blanc
a. Between 1971
-
1980 and 1991
-
2000
were recorded the most extreme values
of thermal discomfort due to cold.
Figure 7 shows the daily bioclimatic diagram during extreme weather events in the period 1961
-
2020. Figure 7a shows that during HW extreme heat s
tress was highest during the central hours of the
day. PET ≥ 41°C reached percentages higher than 60% between 2p.m. and 4p.m. and PET ≥ 35 < 41°C
had percentages higher than 55% between 12a.m. and 1p.m.
Fernández, M. E., Gentili, J. O.,
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Fi
g.
6
–
Bioclimatic conditions during a) HW
and
b) CW
.
Colour figure available online.
Fig
.
6
–
Condições bioclimáticas durante a) HW
e
b) CW
.
Figura a cores disponível online.
Figure 7b shows the daily variability of extreme cold stress situations during CW. Severe (PET
≥ 4 < 8°C) and extreme (PET <
4°C) cold stress situations prevailed throughout the day. From 10p.m.
to 10a.m., PET < 4°C had a frequency of 100%. During the middle hours of the day (from 12a.m. to
5p.m.), PET ≥ 0 < 4°C reached a frequency of more than 60% and between 2p.m. and 4p.m., P
ET ≥ 4 <
8°C had frequencies of more than 25%.
Fe
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,
M. E., Gentili, J. O.
,
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11
Fig
.
7
-
Daily bioclimatic diagram for Bahía Blanca during a) HW b) CW
.
Colour figure available online.
Fig
.
7
-
Diagrama bioclimático diário para
Bahía Blanca durante a) HW b) CW
.
Figura a cores
disponível online.
4.3.
Spatio
-
temporal variability of comfort at a local scale
Based on t
he mean inter annual variability in
the comfort values (1961
-
2020) t
hroughout the
year, BBA, BBD and BBE have a maximum mean value of 23.4
°C
(January) and a minimum of 3
.6
°C
and
5.4
°C
(June), respectively (
f
ig. 8). BBA had lower PET values than BBE and BBD in the whole period
and during winter the difference was the highest. During summer (DEF), BBD had similar PET values
to BBE. From March to November, BBD showed a highe
r PET mean value than BBE. It is evident that
the spatial variability in comfort conditions is greater during the cold season. In winter, a mean
difference of up to 4
°C
was observed
between BBA and BBE. During summer, this variation between
BBE and BBD decreases. During winter months there is an intense process of heat absorption by the
urban surface materials
(Oke
et al
., 2017)
, which explains the lower PET levels in BBD.
Fig
.
8
–
BBD, BBE and BBA
:
a) monthly and daily mean PET
,
b) monthly and daily mean amplitude in PET values
(2001
-
2010)
.
Colour figure
available online.
Fig
.
8
–
BBD, BBE e BBA
:
a) média mensal e diária do PET
,
b) amplitude média mensal e diária nos valores de PET (2001
-
2010)
.
Figura a cores disponível online.
Fernández, M. E., Gentili, J. O.,
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LX
(129), 2025, e38754
12
Figure 9 shows the mean daily distribution of PET values in BBA, BBD and BBE throughout the
year, in the summer (DEF) and winter months (JJA). The daily pattern was determined by sunrise and
sunset. During the night and early morning hours, BBE had higher
PET values than BBD and BBA had
the lowest. After sunrise, the pattern changed. The difference between the curves decreased and
during central hours of the day BBD had higher PET values than BBE and BBA. In the twelve
-
month
period and throughout the day, B
BA had lower PET values than BBD and BBE. The maximum
differences (up to 4.6°C) were between BBA and BBE during the night hours. BBD had lower PET
values than BBE between 7p.m. and 9a.m., with a mean difference of 2.08°C.
Fig
.
9
–
Distribution of PET da
ily in BBA, BBD and BBE (2001
-
2010)
.
Colour figure available online.
Fig
.
9
–
Distribuição diária do PET em BBA, BBD e BBE (2001
-
2010)
.
Figura a cores disponível online.
The seasonal analysis showed that during winter (JJA) the difference in comfort conditions was
greater: between
5p.m.
to
10a.m.
BBD had lower PET values than BBE, with differences up to of 2.6
°C
and during the night (
10p.m.
to 6
a.m.
) the difference between
BBE and BBA was higher and up to 5.2
°C
.
On summer nights, the maximum difference in comfort conditions was found between BBE and BBA,
amounting to more than 3
°C
. At midday and up to
5p.m.
, BBD had the highest PET values and BBA the
lowest, with difference
s of up to 3.5
°C
. The central areas of the city had greater hourly variability in
comfort conditions, with lower PET values at night (due to night cooling) and higher values during the
day. In contrast, the coastal areas (BBE) showed less hourly variabilit
y in PET, with relatively higher
values during the day.
5.
DISCUSSION
We analyzed the interannual and interdecadal variability in comfort conditions. The seasonal
pattern observed in this variability aligns well with previous investigations. For instance,
Pecelj
et al
.
(2021) reported annual fluctuations of PET in Belgrade (Serbia), with maximum values in July and
minimum values in January, characteristic of a moderate continental climate in the Northern
Hemisphere.
Other studies have also identified season
ality in comfort values
(Cinar
et al.
, 2023;
Irmak
et al.
, 2020; Toy
et al.
, 2023)
. Despite its coastal location, Bahía Blanca exhibits a continental climate
influenced by dry air masses from the N
-
NW
(Campo de Ferreras
et al.
, 2004; Capelli de Steffens
et al.
,
2005)
.
This results in high daily temperature amplitude, low relative humidity, and low cloudiness
compared to other cities in the region
(Campo de Ferreras
et al.
, 2004; Fernández, Gentili,
et al.
, 2018)
,
all of which are factors influen
cing urban comfort.
The annual and seasonal daily bioclimatic pattern for Bahía Blanca showed extreme cold stress
mainly during the night and early morning (between 00
a.m. and
7
a.m.
). Slight or no physiological
stress was found in the annual distribution
during the centr
al hours of the day (between 10a.m. and
6p.m.
), and mainly during t
he warm semester between 9a.m.
and
8p.m
. The highest frequencies of heat
stress situations were recorded in the warm semester between
1p.m. and 5p.m
. This daily annual
distr
ibution is in good agreement with results found by Taleghani
and
Berardi
(2018)
, who stated that
Fe
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,
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the minimum PET for all scenarios in the city of Toronto occurred before sunrise and the
maximum
PET around
3p.m
. Similarly, this pattern aligns with the summer daily pattern found by Helbig
et al
.
(2007)
in their PET analysis conducted in eight Argentinean locations. Our results are also consistent
with those of Puliafito
et al.
(2013)
, who found acceptable thermal comfort values in the early
mornings of summer days in downtown Mendoza (Argentina).
The analysis showed that HW and CW have e
xtreme negative consequences on human comfort
in Bahía Blanca, as corroborated by previous findings in the literature
(Konstantinov
et al.
, 2014;
Kotharkar
et al.
, 2019; Matzarakis & Mayer, 1996)
. The PET values observe
d during HW y CW are
consistent with those reported by Basarin
et al.
(2016)
for PET conditions during HW in Northern
Serbia. The PET values found during CW in Bahía Bla
nca are barely distinguishable from those found
by Basarin
et al.
(2016)
. Additionally, our analysis confirms previous findings regarding HW in Bahía
Blanca, showing an
increasing frequency and intensity between 1961 and 2020, with a peak between
2011 and 2020
(Fernández
et al
., 2022; Gentili & Fernández, 2024)
. This trend is consistent with other
studies conducted in Argentina
(Camilloni, 2018; Ferrelli
et al.
, 2021; Rusticucci
et al
., 2015; Santágata
et al.
, 2017)
and Latin America
(Cueto
et al.
, 2010;
Feron
et al
., 2019; Piticar, 2018)
. Regarding extreme
heat events and thermal comfort in South America, Miranda
et al.
(2024)
reported a significant
increase in the annual number of hours under heat stress between 1979 and 2020, noting that the past
20 years (fro
m 2000 onward) experienced not only more consecutive hours under heat stress than the
previous two decades but also a higher persistence of such conditions.
The intra
-
urban variability of comfort aligns is in line with what was stated by Capelli de Steffen
s
et al.
(2005) in their previous analysis of comfort in Bahía Blanca. The moderating influence of the
oceanic surface (associated with higher thermal inertia, higher evaporation and the land
-
sea breeze)
(Royé
et al.
2012) decreases the daily PET thermal a
mplitude in the estuary (Capelli de Steffens
et al.
2005). The greater thermal comfort of coastal environments justifies their promotion as leisure spaces
within the urban fabric, as previously stated by Fernández and Gentili
(2021a)
. Several authors
analyzing comfort variability in urban areas worldwide have reached similar conclusions, observing
differential comfort values across rural areas, peri
-
urban zones, urban cente
rs, green areas, and areas
adjacent to water bodies
(Azimi
et al
., 2024; Çağlak & Toy, 2023; Cinar
et al.
, 2023; Irmak
et al.
, 2020;
Matzarakis
et al.
, 1999; Metin
et al.
, 2024; Pecelj
et al
., 2021;
Puliafito
et al.
, 2013; Toy
et al.
, 2023;
Unger
et al.
, 2017)
.
This is consistent with previous studies that have verified the cooling effects of
trees, grass and water on urban climate
(Arabi
et al.
, 2015; Gill
et al.
, 2007;
Middel
et al
., 2015; Norton
et al.
, 2015; Pfautsch
et al.
, 2020; Pfautsch & Tjoelker, 2020; Shahidan
et al.
, 2012; Vásquez, 2016; Zhen
et al.
, 2022)
.
As stated by Oke
et al
.
(2017)
, urban morphology and construction materials favor heat
absorption. Buildings in urban central areas (where BBD is located)
can be two or three times higher
than the natural substrate, which generates a greater uptake of short
-
wave radiation between urban
canyons and reduces the loss of long
-
wave radiation. These urban configurations also increase wind
shelter, reducing sensib
le heat loss from turbulent flows
(Oke
et al.
, 2017)
. Consequently, soils and
buildings heat up during the day, increasing both the stored
heat and temperature in the city. Eleasing
the stored heat and causing temperatures to drop. This mechanism explains the variability of comfort
found in the city.
The analysis of diurnal comfort distribution across different seasons revealed that central a
reas
of the city exhibit greater hourly variability in comfort conditions, characterized by lower PET values
at night (night cooling) and higher values during the day. The prolonged duration of insolation during
the summer season accentuates this phenomeno
n exacerbating thermal discomfort due to heat in
central areas. In winter, longer nighttime duration and consequent nocturnal heat loss, increase
thermal discomfort due to cold in BBD. These findings are consistent with previous studies on the
urban heat i
sland and cold island effect in the city
(Capelli de Steffens
et al.
, 2005)
. Furthermore, they
relate to the prevalence of anthropogenic and stored heat in these areas (Fig. 1c) and the
urban heat
island phenomenon, as previously discussed by Fernández
et al
.
(2021b)
in their analysis of the Bahía
Blanca UEB and supported by various researchers globally
(Alexander
et al.
, 2016; Christen & Vogt,
2004; Grimmond & Oke, 1995; Moreno
et al.
, 2012; Offerle
et al.
, 2003; Spronken
-
Smith,
2002)
. On the
other hand, the coastal areas (BBE) present a lower hourly PET variability of PET, with comparatively
higher values during the day. This is in good agreement with Fernández
et al
.
(2021b)
, who stated that
the Bahía Blanca estuary had the lowest magn
itude of anthropogenic heat and the highest magnitudes
of latent flux and stored sensitive heat.
Similarly, findings by Ferrelli
(2016)
and Ferrelli
et al.
(2016)
,
indicate that
more densely built
-
up areas in Bahía Blanca were warmer and drier than the peri
-
urban
and coastal areas.
Fernández, M. E., Gentili, J. O.,
Finisterra,
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(129), 2025, e38754
14
6.
CONCLUSIONS
The spatio
-
temporal variation of thermal comfort in Bahía Blanca during the period 1961
-
2020
and during extreme thermal episodes (HW
-
CW)
at different scales was analyzed. Extreme heat stress
could be observed mainly during December, January and February and extreme cold stress mainly in
June, July and August. Due to its specific location and climatology, cold stress was more common in
Bahía
Blanca than heat stress. The thermal comfort sensation was lowest during the winter months
and highest in the intermediate thermal seasons as well as during the summer. The daily bioclimatic
diagram of Bahía Blanca showed a direct relationship with sunris
e and sunset. The cold semester had
a higher frequency of extreme cold stress conditions during the night and the early morning hours
(between
10p.m. and
8
a.m.
). The warm half
-
year diagram showed the highest frequencies of hot s
tress
conditions between 1p.
m.
and
5p.m
.
During most of the HW, PET reached values above 41
°C
(extreme heat stress). In the last decade,
all HW had a maximum PET above 43
°C
and up to 48.7
°C
. These conditions are unique to that period,
showing that discomfort conditions resulting from the occurrence of HW have increased in recent
years. During CW the minimum PET ranged between
-
8.3
°C
and
-
18.1
°C
(extreme cold stress). Between
1971
-
1980 and 19
91
-
2000 the most extreme values of CW
-
related thermal cold discomfort were
recorded.
At the local level, the variability of comfort in the city was tested. In the suburban area (BBA),
thermal stress due to cold in winter was more severe than in coastal are
as and the central area of the
city and during summer, the thermal stress due to heat was less pronounced. In BBD, heat stress was
more severe than in BBE and BBA in the central hours of the day and during summer. Coastal areas
(BBE) experienced less cold
stress during the night and less heat stress during the day. In the central
areas, a more pronounced daily variability in comfort conditions was evident: citizens experience
more cold stress at night and more heat stress during the day, a factor generated
by urban building
materials. Coastal areas show less diurnal variability, a factor defined by the moderating effect of the
sea surface.
These results are an interesting contribution to the planning of thermally comfortable spaces.
Among the possible measur
es to be implemented are highlighted the importance of promoting the use
of coastal public green spaces and of improving urban green infrastructure to reduce mainly the
frequency of heat stress during the day in the central areas of the city.
ACKNOWLEDGM
ENTS
To the following research projects: “
Climatología y planificación urbana: aportes para la construcción
de ciudades sostenibles y resilientes [24/ZG33]
and “Geografía Física Aplicada al estudio de la interacción
sociedad
-
naturaleza. Problemáticas
ambientales a diferentes escalas témporo
-
espaciales” research
projects,
[
24/G092
]
, both with the subsidy of the Secretaría General de Ciencia y Tecnología, Universidad
Nacional del Sur. To the “Playas de estacionamiento y problemáticas ambientales urbanas:
estudio para la
definición y propuesta de medidas sustentables en ciudades medias”
[
PIP 11220200100032
]
research
proyect, with the subsidy of the Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas (CONICET). To
the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional
(SMN) of Argentina for providing the official records to perform this
work.
AUTHOR CONTRIBUTIONS
María Eugenia Fernández
: Conceptualization
;
Data curation
;
Methodology
;
Formal analysis and
investigation
;
Visualization
;
Writing
–
original draft.
Jorge Osvaldo Gentili
: Conceptualization
;
Methodology
;
Formal analysis and investigation
;
Visualization
; Writing
–
review and editing
;
Supervision
;
Project administration; F
unding acquisition.
ORCID
María Eugenia Fernández
https://orcid.org/0000
-
0002
-
6335
-
7774
Jorge Osvaldo Gentili
https://orcid.org/0000
-
0002
-
4787
-
4667
Fe
rn
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ndez
,
M. E., Gentili, J. O.
,
Finisterra,
LX
(129), 2025, e38754
15
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