The Integration of Extreme Weather Event Attribution Science into Public Policy

Abstract

Few studies explore the interfaces between extreme-event attribution science and public policy. This article addresses that gap. Attribution science, an expanding branch since the early 2000s, establishes probabilistic links between droughts, tornadoes, floods, and human-induced climate change, tracing causal factors, responsible actors and resulting impacts. Its capacity to support mitigation and adaptation policy is substantial. Using a qualitative, exploratory, and bibliographic approach, the study (i) sets out three analytical categories (extreme events, attribution science and climate public policy); (ii) shows how attribution findings are already being integrated into policy cycles; and (iii) identifies key challenges and strategies for deeper integration. It concludes that, although attribution provides valuable evidence for public action, effective uptake depends on overcoming institutional, cognitive and communication barriers.