Analysis and prediction of competition performance in master swimmers

Authors

  • Hugo Louro Escola Superior de Desporto de Rio Maior https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5635-2476
  • João Diogo Freitas Sport Sciences School of Rio Maior, Rio Maior, Portugal
  • Carla Borrego Sport Sciences School of Rio Maior, Rio Maior, Portugal https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7881-3453
  • Rui Cunha Sport Sciences School of Rio Maior, Rio Maior, Portugal
  • Daniel Marinho Department of Sports Sciences, University of Beira Interior
  • Catarina Costa Santos Department of Sports Sciences, University of Beira Interior, Portugal
  • Ana Conceição Escola Superior de Desporto de Rio Maior

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.6063/motricidade.25521

Keywords:

Swimming, Results, Efficiency, Groups

Abstract

This study aimed to quantify the participation of male master swimmers during ten seasons (2008/2009 – 2018/2019) in the national master swimmers and predict the results for the 2020/2021 season in the events of 50 100, 200 and 400 m freestyle. Eight age groups were considered, namely, A to H with a total of 5,368 participants, in the four events analysed 50, 100, 200 and 400 m freestyle. The best time of each race was recorded in the selected age groups that took place in the last decade of the National Summer Championship, through the specific website “Swimrakings” (https://www.swimrankings.net/). The resulting equation for the calculation was y= (–) ax2 – bx + c, y being the rate of increase or decrease in swimming performance and the x variation depending on the year of events that one intends to estimate for 2021, x= 13. The results showed an increase in the number of participations in middle age groups (35-49 years) and a prediction of improvements in the results of 21 events for all the swimming races studied. In conclusion, we can verify that prediction becomes essential for the definition of new objectives and evolutionary trends in swimming.

Keywords: Swimming, Results, Efficiency, Groups.

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Published

2021-12-28

Issue

Vol. 17 No. 4 (2021): Motricidade

Section

Original Article

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