Climate leadership without hegemony: normative power and Latin American middle powers in global climate governance (2010–2024)

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.34625/issn.2183-2705(40.1)2026.ic-11

Keywords:

Climate governance, Middle powers, Normative power, Latin America, Niche diplomacy

Abstract

Traditional literature on global governance assumes that effective leadership relies on hegemonic material capabilities. This article challenges this premise by analyzing how Colombia, Chile, and Costa Rica, middle powers lacking structural weight in emissions or finance, have exerted systemic influence within the UNFCCC climate regime (2010–2024). Employing a comparative research design and process tracing, the study identifies three causal mechanisms of "leadership without hegemony": (1) the construction of cognitive architectures through coalitions (AILAC) to overcome North-South binarisms; (2) norm entrepreneurship in specific niches (SDGs, Ocean-Climate Nexus, and Carbon Markets); and (3) institutional brokerage during regime crises. Findings suggest that these actors operate under a logic of "selective credibility," building moral authority abroad despite facing structural contradictions and implementation gaps domestically. The article concludes that while normative power is effective for agenda-setting, it faces a "material glass ceiling" in the distributive phase, validating a theoretical synthesis between diplomatic constructivism and peripheral realism.

Author Biography

Javier JUÁREZ RODRÍGUEZ, Universidad Complutense de Madrid

Javier Juárez Rodríguez
Departamento de Periodismo y Comunicación Global
Facultad de Ciencias de la Información
Universidad Complutense de Madrid

References

BÄCKSTRAND, Karin and ELGSTRÖM, Ole, 2013. The EU’s role in climate change negotiations: from leader to ‘leadiator.’ Journal of European Public Policy, 20(10), pp. 1369–1386. Available from: https://doi.org/10.1080/13501763.2013.781781.

BÄCKSTRAND, Karin and LÖVBRAND, Eva, 2019. The Road to Paris: Contending Climate Governance Discourses in the Post-Copenhagen Era. Journal of Environmental Policy & Planning, 21(5), pp. 519–532. Available from: https://doi.org/10.1080/1523908X.2016.1150777.

BETZOLD, Carola, 2010. ‘Borrowing’ Power to Influence International Negotiations: AOSIS in the Climate Change Regime, 1990–1997. Politics, 30(3), pp. 131–148. Available from: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9256.2010.01377.x.

BJÖRKDAHL, Annika, 2013. Ideas and Norms in Swedish Peace Policy. Swiss Political Science Review, 19(3), pp. 322–337. Available from: https://doi.org/10.1111/spsr.12046.

BOBADILLA, Andrea, STEHR, Alejandra and TORO, Nicolás, 2024. Evaluation of climate-change impacts on the temporal and spatial behaviour of drought in South-Central Chile. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 69(2), pp. 165–184. Available from: https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2023.2288217.

CASTRO SALAZAR, René, CASTRO CORDERO, Rene and CORDERO, Sarah, 2021. Increasing Forest Cover for a CO2 Neutral Future: Costa Rica Case Study. Studies of Applied Economics, 39(3). Available from: https://doi.org/10.25115/eea.v39i3.5080.

CHEN, Shiyi et al., 2023. International and domestic leadership for fulfilling carbon neutrality in emerging economies: comparative evidence from China and India. Journal of Chinese Governance, 8(4), pp. 533–562. Available from: https://doi.org/10.1080/23812346.2023.2213540.

CLIMATE ACTION, 2017. Costa Rica pledges carbon neutrality by 2021 - Climate Action. Costa Rica. Available from: https://www.climateaction.org/news/costa_rica_pledges_carbon_neutrality_by_2021.

CLIMATE ACTION TRACKER, 2024. Colombia: Policies & Action. Available from: https://climateactiontracker.org/countries/colombia/policies-action/.

COLLIER, David, 2011. Understanding Process Tracing. PS: Political Science & Politics, 44(4), pp. 823–830. Available from: https://doi.org/10.1017/S1049096511001429.

COOPER, Andrew, HIGGOTT, Richard and NOSSAL, Kim, 1993. Relocating middle powers: Australia and Canada in a changing world order. Vancouver: UBC Press. ISBN: 978-0-7748-0450-9.

Costa Rica’s Forest Conservation Pays Off, 2022. World Bank. Available from: https://www.worldbank.org/en/news/feature/2022/11/16/costa-rica-s-forest-conservation-pays-off.

DIEZ, Thomas, 2005. Constructing the Self and Changing Others: Reconsidering `Normative Power Europe’. Millennium: Journal of International Studies, 33(3), pp. 613–636. Available from: https://doi.org/10.1177/03058298050330031701.

EARTH NEGOTIATIONS BULLETIN (ENB), 2019. Chile/Madrid Climate Change Conference - December 2019. Available from: https://enb.iisd.org/chile-madrid-climate-change-conference-cop25.

ECKERSLEY, Robyn, 2020. Rethinking leadership: understanding the roles of the US and China in the negotiation of the Paris Agreement. European Journal of International Relations, 26(4), pp. 1178–1202. Available from: https://doi.org/10.1177/1354066120927071.

EDWARDS, Guy and ROBERTS, J. Timmons, 2015. A Fragmented Continent: Latin America and the Global Politics of Climate Change. The MIT Press. ISBN: 978-0-262-33015-2. Available from: https://doi.org/10.7551/mitpress/9473.001.0001.

FALKNER, Robert, 2016. The Paris Agreement and the new logic of international climate politics. International Affairs, 92(5), pp. 1107–1125. Available from: https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-2346.12708.

FINNEMORE, Martha and SIKKINK, Kathryn, 1998. International Norm Dynamics and Political Change. International Organization. Available from: https://doi.org/10.1162/002081898550789.

FLAGG, Julia, 2018. Carbon Neutral by 2021: The Past and Present of Costa Rica’s Unusual Political Tradition. Sustainability, 10(2), p. 296. Available from: https://doi.org/10.3390/su10020296.

FLEMES, Daniel, 2007. Conceptualising Regional Power in International Relations: Lessons from the South African Case. SSRN Electronic Journal, (53). Available from: https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1000123.

GEORGE, Alexander and BENNETT, Andrew, 2005. Case studies and theory development in the social sciences. Cambridge, Massachusetts: MIT Press. ISBN: 978-0-262-57222-4.

GRANADA, Isabel and ORTIZ, Paola, 2022. Descarbonizando el transporte en Costa Rica. Inter-American Development Bank. Available from: https://doi.org/10.18235/0004553.

INOSTROZA, Luis, PALME, Massimo and DE LA BARRERA, Francisco, 2016. A Heat Vulnerability Index: Spatial Patterns of Exposure, Sensitivity and Adaptive Capacity for Santiago de Chile. PLOS ONE, 11(9), p. e0162464. Available from: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0162464.

INTERNATIONAL CLIMATE INITIATIVE, 2022. Ambition leaders: Support for AILAC countries in the UNFCCC negotiations – IKI Colombia. Available from: https://ikicolombia.com/en/proyectos/ambition-leaders-support-for-ailac-countries-in-the-unfccc-negotiations/.

JORDAAN, Eduard, 2003. The concept of a middle power in international relations: distinguishing between emerging and traditional middle powers. Politikon, 30(1), pp. 165–181. Available from: https://doi.org/10.1080/0258934032000147282.

KARLSSON, Christer et al., 2011. Looking for Leaders: Perceptions of Climate Change Leadership among Climate Change Negotiation Participants. Global Environmental Politics, 11(1), pp. 89–107. Available from: https://doi.org/10.1162/GLEP_a_00044.

LANDMAN, Todd, 2011. Política Comparada. Una introducción a su objeto y métodos de investigación. Madrid: Alianza Editorial.

LATTA, Alex and AGUAYO, Beatriz, 2012. Testing the Limits: Neoliberal Ecologies from Pinochet to Bachelet. Latin American Perspectives, 39(4), pp. 163–180. Available from: https://doi.org/10.1177/0094582X12439050.

MANNERS, Ian, 2002. Normative Power Europe: A Contradiction in Terms? JCMS: Journal of Common Market Studies, 40(2), pp. 235–258. Available from: https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-5965.00353.

MANNERS, Ian, 2008. The Normative Ethics of the European Union. International Affairs (Royal Institute of International Affairs 1944-), 84(1), pp. 45–60. Available from: https://doi.org/https://www.jstor.org/stable/25144714.

MARDONES, Cristian, 2024. Contribution of the carbon tax, phase-out of thermoelectric power plants, and renewable energy subsidies for the decarbonization of Chile − A CGE model and microsimulations approach. Journal of Environmental Management, 352, p. 120017. Available from: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.120017.

ONU, 2018. Acuerdo Regional sobre el Acceso a la Información, la Participación Pública y el Acceso a la Justicia en Asuntos Ambientales en América Latina y el Caribe | Observatorio del Principio 10. Available from: https://observatoriop10.cepal.org/es/tratado/acuerdo-regional-acceso-la-informacion-la-participacion-publica-acceso-la-justicia-asuntos.

ORIHUELA, José Carlos, IRARRÁZAVAL, Felipe and FLORES, Cristián, 2026. Chile at the Green Window of Opportunity: The Troubled Road to New Productive Capabilities. Journal of Globalization and Development, 16(2), pp. 277–304. Available from: https://doi.org/10.1515/jgd-2024-0090.

OSORIO ARAVENA, Juan Carlos et al., 2020. The role of solar PV, wind energy, and storage technologies in the transition toward a fully sustainable energy system in Chile by 2050 across power, heat, transport and desalination sectors. International Journal of Sustainable Energy Planning and Management, pp. 77-94 Sider. Available from: https://doi.org/10.5278/IJSEPM.3385.

PAUW, W. P. et al., 2020. Conditional nationally determined contributions in the Paris Agreement: foothold for equity or Achilles heel? Climate Policy, 20(4), pp. 468–484. Available from: https://doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2019.1635874.

PROGRAMA DE LAS NACIONES UNIDAS PARA EL DESARROLLO – PNUD CHILE, 2024. Informe sobre Desarrollo Humano en Chile 2024. Santiago de Chile: PNUD. Available from: https://doi.org/https://www.undp.org/es/chile/publicaciones/informe-sobre-desarrollo-humano-en-chile-2024.

PROVOST, Colin, 2019. Multilevel Environmental Governance in the European Union and United States. In. Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Natural Hazard Science, ISBN: 978-0-19-938940-7. Oxford University Press. Available from: https://doi.org/10.1093/acrefore/9780199389407.013.163.

SARTORI, Giovanni, 1991. Comparing and Miscomparing. Journal of Theoretical Politics, 3(3), pp. 243–257. Available from: https://doi.org/10.1177/0951692891003003001.

TOBIN, Paul, TORNEY, Diarmuid and BIEDENKOPF, Katja, 2023. EU climate leadership: domestic and global dimensions. In. Handbook on European Union Climate Change Policy and Politics, pp. 187–200, ISBN: 978-1-78990-698-1. Edward Elgar Publishing. Available from: https://doi.org/10.4337/9781789906981.00025.

UN, 2022. UNFCCC Decision 2/CP.27, 2022. UN. Available from: https://unfccc.int/sites/default/files/resource/2_CP.27.pdf.

UN CLIMATE CHANGE, 2023. Operationalization of the new funding arrangements for responding to loss and damage and the fund established in paragraph 3 of decisions 2/CP.27 and 2/CMA.4. Report by the Transitional Committee | UNFCCC. Dabai. Available from: https://unfccc.int/documents/632319.

VIHMA, Antto, MULUGETTA, Yacob and KARLSSON-VINKHUYZEN, Sylvia, 2011. Negotiating solidarity? The G77 through the prism of climate change negotiations. Global Change, Peace & Security, 23(3), pp. 315–334. Available from: https://doi.org/10.1080/14781158.2011.601853.

WANG, Di and FANG, Yuzhu, 2024. Global climate governance leadership: Current status, measurement, and improvement paths. Journal of Cleaner Production, 434, p. 139619. Available from: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2023.139619.

WATTS, Joshua and DEPLEDGE, Joanna, 2018. Latin America in the climate change negotiations: Exploring the AILAC and ALBA coalitions. WIREs Climate Change, 9(6), p. e533. Available from: https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.533.

WENDT, Alexander, 1999. Social Theory of International Politics. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. ISBN: 978-0-521-46557-1. Available from: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511612183.

WUNDERLICH, Carmen, 2020. Dedicated to the Good: Norm Entrepreneurs in International Relations. In. Rogue States as Norm Entrepreneurs, pp. 15–55, ISBN: 978-3-030-27989-9. Cham: Springer International Publishing. Available from: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-27990-5_2.

Downloads

Published

2026-07-08

How to Cite

GONZÁLEZ-PARIAS, C. H., MESA BEDOYA, J. C., PIEDRAHITA-BUSTAMANTE, P., & JUÁREZ RODRÍGUEZ, J. (2026). Climate leadership without hegemony: normative power and Latin American middle powers in global climate governance (2010–2024). Revista Jurídica Portucalense , 1(40), 243–276. https://doi.org/10.34625/issn.2183-2705(40.1)2026.ic-11

Issue

Section

SCIENTIFIC RESEARCH