Aplicação da econometria espacial às culturas agrícolas permanentes portuguesas
Abstract
A consideração de efeitos espaciais é cada vez mais frequente e para
isso contribuiu, entre outros, o trabalho de Anselin (1988). Neste estudo analisase,
através de métodos de estimação “cross-section”, a influência dos efeitos
espaciais nas culturas agrícolas permanentes das NUTs III de Portugal
Continental, com base nos dados do Recenseamento Geral da Agricultura de
1999, considerando a relação de Verdoorn como base de estudo. Pela análise dos
dados (considerando a estatística Moran´s I) e dos resultados das estimações
(tendo em conta as componentes “spatial lag” e “spatial error”) constata-se que
haverá autocorrelação espacial positiva, sobretudo nos frutos secos e na vinha.
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